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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Gamersshop Gaming Store Regionals PTM (5th Floor)
decks
14
(13.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
79
46-17-16
overall winrate
68.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
58.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1412
· median 1447
· range 1079–1668
(14 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1176
Q3 1400
1668
64% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.9% | 11 | 5-2-4 | 63.6% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +3.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 7 | 5-1-1 | 78.6% | 68.2% | 65.1% | +7.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 53.7% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.2% | +8.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.5% | -10.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 54.5% | +2.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.0% | 6 | 3-0-3 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 52.2% | +1.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 51.5% | +0.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 57.6% | +4.8 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.1% | +1.6 |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 4 | 1-0-3 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 53.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.7% | +5.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.5% | +1.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +12.9 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -4.2 |
| Fire Ciel | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.0% | -18.3 |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 11 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Displace, Beseech the Winds, Brisk Windtrotter. Losers more often ran: Baby Green Slime, Winds of Destiny, Safeguard Amulet.
Displace
Winning decks ran 1.8
copies on average,
losing decks 1.1.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Beseech the Winds
Winning decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.8.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 2.
Brisk Windtrotter
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 2.4.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 5.
Tariff Ring
Winning decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Beastbond Boots
Winning decks ran 0.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 8.
Aesan Protector
Winning decks ran 2.5
copies on average,
losing decks 2.4.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 7.
Banned
Baby Green Slime
Losing decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 7.
Winds of Destiny
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Safeguard Amulet
Losing decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
winning decks 0.6.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Fairy Whispers
Losing decks ran 3.8
copies on average,
winning decks 3.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 8.
Ducal Seal
Losing decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Windmill Engineer
Losing decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.6.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 8.
Show all 50 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Displace | +0.45 | 6 | 1 | 2 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.45 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.36 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.36 | 5 | 1 | 5 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -0.27 | 1 | 4 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.27 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.27 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| Ducal Seal | -0.27 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.27 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.27 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.18 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.18 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -0.18 | 0 | 2 | 9 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.18 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Stolen Chance | -0.18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.09 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.09 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.09 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.09 | 3 | 2 | 4 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.09 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.09 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Purifying Thurible | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Harbinger of Lightning | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.09 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.09 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.09 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tricastles of Lucenia | +0.09 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +0.09 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 5 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 5 | |
| Idle Fatestone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |